Multimessenger astronomy, enabling pre-localization, fig.7 [4.5 yr]

FoM

Science investigation and Observational requirement: SI 3.2.3a from Science requirement document.

For a MBHBs with source-frame mass of \(3.10^5, 3.10^6 and 1.10^7\) M\(_\odot\) at \(z = 1\).

- OK 40.02 [20 40 60] : Cumulative SNR 3 days before merger.

System with \(M = 3.10^6 M_\odot\), z=1.

- OK 0.04 [0.25 0.06 0.02] : Error on time of coalescence (in days) 3 days before merger.

System with \(M = 3.10^6 M_\odot\), z=1.

- OK 189.36 [300 200 150] : Error on advanced sky localization (in square degree) 4 hours before merger.

System with \(M = 3.10^6 M_\odot\), z=1.

Summary

MBHB with waveform IMRPhenomHM of

  • mass in 3.000000e+05-1.000000e+07 solar mass (log uniform)
  • mass ratio in [1, 10] (log uniform),
  • redshift in [1.0] (uniform in comoving volume)
  • chi in [0 - 0.99] (uniform))

Conducting monte-carlo over 2000 trials, randomizing spins, sky position and orientation

Ms_3.0e+05_t_all

PEoft c1-Ms_3.0e+05_t_all

SNR
time 0.5 0.05 0.95
7.0 d 214.01609834577297 104.79211397964032 455.20009918820864
3.0 d 311.3295310283719 149.1233019845553 676.6326029979693
1.0 d 502.51385133676314 238.35555564896094 1097.3829635092545
10.0 h 786.3219094215256 370.4398135450109 1730.2080605457195
4.0 h 1428.3390310134541 653.2181045566023 3160.002553225246
1.0 h 2856.4381455981966 1260.6863018436302 6434.891357961001
0.0 h 4305.026181119427 1817.336862625613 9736.316399714891
Sky errors
time 0.5 0.05 0.95
7.0 d 3.9338268903202547 0.4646044944547214 14.264646145296464
3.0 d 2.781270015411082 0.24047664891083223 10.99267286702147
1.0 d 2.1169180339806544 0.1035647955726441 8.894765136824414
10.0 h 1.7071276420979353 0.04884107136017092 7.888845353426529
4.0 h 1.3427772421371837 0.01875816807198871 7.25270653999802
1.0 h 0.955340641010453 0.00591715930139281 6.535699881148412
0.0 h 0.1526807178319445 0.0015091831896176576 1.0141082040436409
Tc errors
time 0.5 0.05 0.95
7.0 d 0.0012562083005627483 0.0007320799102793637 0.002231621607282509
3.0 d 0.00042569988889627243 0.0002361323809562341 0.0007803261525313298
1.0 d 0.0001249908455336675 7.041254496586211e-05 0.00023824484013402117
10.0 h 5.597566388876716e-05 2.9842140387261362e-05 0.00010603626572909911
4.0 h 3.066236605463253e-05 1.3664682861708834e-05 7.062936916563861e-05
1.0 h 1.932587290143799e-05 4.904326041369241e-06 6.249682597779471e-05
0.0 h 7.39243819509051e-06 9.01663108993699e-07 2.2426395536348383e-05

Ms_3.0e+06_t_all

PEoft c1-Ms_3.0e+06_t_all

SNR
time 0.5 0.05 0.95
7.0 d 17.79211790553152 7.569101884415375 39.97192081215843
3.0 d 40.02195985906117 17.769816132117064 87.6316749482472
1.0 d 94.8053573012439 42.776825901767836 206.54041691030895
10.0 h 171.65883480625448 78.5409351067152 374.68178427853695
4.0 h 291.8922627886727 130.13721455646393 640.1055651519065
1.0 h 578.943147232194 250.0325770944397 1339.5856653928117
0.0 h 6316.592996799178 2269.3697721675303 15913.472586092148
Sky errors
time 0.5 0.05 0.95
7.0 d 3688.7109233460997 105.72991177149818 53011.972100139596
3.0 d 1395.312489356243 25.029921972747083 19490.48705248544
1.0 d 565.8983800674396 5.656543521469765 8387.490166652908
10.0 h 324.10654008532254 2.175528476150497 5478.676565867137
4.0 h 189.35521361557784 0.7912015102735457 3974.584569843334
1.0 h 58.9375502789799 0.1634864045420174 2546.3131004836528
0.0 h 0.23802137495397732 0.0007197246714301591 37.069104577869425
Tc errors
time 0.5 0.05 0.95
7.0 d 0.18541269591387724 0.06570632288744487 0.5017311163536456
3.0 d 0.039833797989185765 0.015672880164103373 0.1013291358788605
1.0 d 0.007270392921761742 0.0031123578398033554 0.017124506082611825
10.0 h 0.002318801984459614 0.0011343461229578983 0.005293051593184803
4.0 h 0.0009346494092761389 0.00042706188068857655 0.0024331361661378737
1.0 h 0.0002858614495027047 7.881205254643761e-05 0.0012073198865437636
0.0 h 1.1793778040680833e-05 1.2907088380463048e-06 0.0001531307833627266

Ms_1.0e+07_t_all

PEoft c1-Ms_1.0e+07_t_all

SNR
time 0.5 0.05 0.95
7.0 d 2.495620289238083 0.7695326978399522 9.275267422001356
3.0 d 10.200715731240825 3.516423495492074 30.06784283599567
1.0 d 42.97745069048864 17.669473217677375 103.34596441937214
10.0 h 98.98013906403227 42.630831966007335 231.24099322885934
4.0 h 214.27105435214713 89.86318689977679 512.3397398140982
1.0 h 691.3397581537686 257.24127405483483 1766.4067531906887
0.0 h 3104.7063995294284 1102.1273735554523 7428.977383758756
Sky errors
time 0.5 0.05 0.95
7.0 d 253354.22043549374 4598.322073338011 10135501.120320953
3.0 d 40822.8595511226 617.2852188142066 1594025.5900551637
1.0 d 7017.482152934672 59.211141281856136 267276.09493974666
10.0 h 2163.1140646329113 11.459186903901118 98703.73340914077
4.0 h 631.8687221757243 2.062224802928504 45613.58756685296
1.0 h 75.3631226105062 0.1312404958579057 13327.52298172297
0.0 h 0.9424516500595006 0.003613845212246121 481.8818945313042
Tc errors
time 0.5 0.05 0.95
7.0 d 4.16937343929096 0.7468126991690117 17.55794491335507
3.0 d 0.53003110996679 0.12894967452286085 1.9016818381057712
1.0 d 0.05723783333502449 0.017793459785356878 0.16615284043493017
10.0 h 0.012971439816677338 0.005204507645973326 0.03363578451161246
4.0 h 0.0029213759001081637 0.0009770717409372887 0.008135161692508924
1.0 h 0.00045751698204566884 0.00016074466702621735 0.0026847962839527503
0.0 h 2.9020457942604806e-05 6.846066959150491e-06 0.0004897713706046405

Detailed results

at merger

at merger

at merger

waveform parameters

'''

  • minf : 2e-05
  • maxf : 1
  • fend : None
  • tmin : 0.0
  • tmax : None
  • phiref : 0.0
  • fref_for_phiref : 0.0
  • toffset : 0.0
  • TDI : TDI2AET
  • acc : 0.0001
  • order_fresnel_stencil : 0
  • approximant : IMRPhenomHM
  • responseapprox : full
  • frozenLISA : False
  • TDIrescaled : False
  • LISAconst : {'OrbitOmega': 1.9909865927683783e-07, 'OrbitPhi0': 0.0, 'Orbitt0': 0.0, 'OrbitR': 149597870700.0, 'OrbitL': 2500000000.0}
  • LISAnoise : [[2.00000000e-05 7.71748532e-41 7.71748532e-41 8.45230844e-54] [2.10000000e-05 5.48584269e-41 5.48584269e-41 7.52449171e-54] [2.20000000e-05 3.96262828e-41 3.96262828e-41 6.82098233e-54] ... [9.99998000e-01 2.73617388e-36 2.73617388e-36 5.73895037e-36] [9.99999000e-01 2.73619429e-36 2.73619429e-36 5.73933494e-36] [1.00000000e+00 2.73621460e-36 2.73621460e-36 5.73971931e-36]]
  • t0 : 0.7
  • DeltatL_cut : -18299.558214969933
  • modes : [(2, 2), (2, 1), (3, 3), (4, 4)] '''

Input parameters


- log : log/SO2_localization.c1.log
- config : config.yml
- subconfig : 
- duration : 4.5 yr
- duty_cycle : 0.82
- armlength : 2500000000.0 m
- noise : SciRDv1
- show : False
- fast : 0
- tdi2 : 1
- freqs : [2e-05, 1]
- force_duration : 4.5_yr
- report : SciRDv1_redbook/report_SO2a_localization.c1.md
- sky_thr_fom : [100.0]
- coal_thr_fom : [4]
- fom_range : [15, 20, 25]
- time_fom_sky : [4]
- time_fom_coal : [48]
- fom_title : Multimessenger astronomy, enabling pre-localization, fig.7
- fom_config : SO2/localization.c1.yml
- fom_or : SI 3.2.3a
- fom_objective : Detectability/PE for MBHB
- output : SciRDv1_redbook/data_SO2a_localization.c1.pkl
- mass_range : [300000.0, 3000000.0, 10000000.0]
- z_range : [1.0]
- time_range : [<Quantity 7. d>, <Quantity 3. d>, <Quantity 1. d>, <Quantity 10. h>, <Quantity 4. h>, <Quantity 1. h>, <Quantity 0. h>]
- fom_obj : For a MBHBs with source-frame mass of $3.10^5, 3.10^6 and 1.10^7$ M$_\odot$ at $z = 1$.
- mass_ratio_range : [1, 10]
- foms : [{'mass': 3000000.0, 'time': <Quantity 3. d>, 'value': 'snr', 'good': 40, 'bad': 20, 'extra': 60, 'title': 'Cumulative SNR 3 days before merger.', 'descr': 'System with $M = 3.10^6 M_\\odot$, z=1.'}, {'mass': 3000000.0, 'time': <Quantity 3. d>, 'value': 'tc', 'good': 0.06, 'bad': 0.25, 'extra': 0.02, 'title': 'Error on time of coalescence (in days) 3 days before merger.', 'descr': 'System with $M = 3.10^6 M_\\odot$, z=1.'}, {'mass': 3000000.0, 'time': <Quantity 4. h>, 'value': 'sky', 'good': 200, 'bad': 300, 'extra': 150, 'title': 'Error on advanced sky localization (in square degree) 4 hours before merger.', 'descr': 'System with $M = 3.10^6 M_\\odot$, z=1.'}]

Download

Full data set Ms_3.0e+05_t_7.0 d

Full data set Ms_3.0e+05_t_3.0 d

Full data set Ms_3.0e+05_t_1.0 d

Full data set Ms_3.0e+05_t_10.0 h

Full data set Ms_3.0e+05_t_4.0 h

Full data set Ms_3.0e+05_t_1.0 h

Full data set Ms_3.0e+05_t_0.0 h

Localization errors c1-Ms_3.0e+05_t_all at merger

Tc errors c1-Ms_3.0e+05_t_all at merger

Localization errors c1-Ms_3.0e+05_t_all

Coalescence time errors c1-Ms_3.0e+05_t_all

SNR c1-Ms_3.0e+05_t_all

Full data set Ms_3.0e+06_t_7.0 d

Full data set Ms_3.0e+06_t_3.0 d

Full data set Ms_3.0e+06_t_1.0 d

Full data set Ms_3.0e+06_t_10.0 h

Full data set Ms_3.0e+06_t_4.0 h

Full data set Ms_3.0e+06_t_1.0 h

Full data set Ms_3.0e+06_t_0.0 h

Localization errors c1-Ms_3.0e+06_t_all at merger

Tc errors c1-Ms_3.0e+06_t_all at merger

Localization errors c1-Ms_3.0e+06_t_all

Coalescence time errors c1-Ms_3.0e+06_t_all

SNR c1-Ms_3.0e+06_t_all

Full data set Ms_1.0e+07_t_7.0 d

Full data set Ms_1.0e+07_t_3.0 d

Full data set Ms_1.0e+07_t_1.0 d

Full data set Ms_1.0e+07_t_10.0 h

Full data set Ms_1.0e+07_t_4.0 h

Full data set Ms_1.0e+07_t_1.0 h

Full data set Ms_1.0e+07_t_0.0 h

Localization errors c1-Ms_1.0e+07_t_all at merger

Tc errors c1-Ms_1.0e+07_t_all at merger

Localization errors c1-Ms_1.0e+07_t_all

Coalescence time errors c1-Ms_1.0e+07_t_all

SNR c1-Ms_1.0e+07_t_all